CS:GO Weapon Case 3: Price, Skins & Odds

CS:GO Weapon Case 3 Standard Not painted prices by marketplace
Marketplace	Listings	Lowest ask	Fee	You pay	Marketplace link
Steam MarketOfficialInstant · Steam wallet · Updated 3 h ago	1,145	—	0%	—	View

What's in the CS:GO Weapon Case 3?

The CS:GO Weapon Case 3 contains 12 skins: one Covert, two Classified, four Restricted and five Mil-Spec. It also contains 65 rare special knives: the Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet. Every skin can also drop as StatTrak™.

Covert · 1

0.64% per opening for the tier, about 0.64% for each skin

CZ75-Auto

Victoria

from $72.98

0.64% · 1 in 156

Classified · 2

3.20% per opening for the tier, about 1.6% for each skin

P250

Undertow

from $22.46

1.6% · 1 in 63

CZ75-Auto

The Fuschia Is Now

from $13.41

1.6% · 1 in 63

Restricted · 4

15.98% per opening for the tier, about 3.995% for each skin

Five-SeveN

Copper Galaxy

from $10.51

3.995% · 1 in 25

Tec-9

Titanium Bit

from $7.27

3.995% · 1 in 25

CZ75-Auto

Tread Plate

from $6.34

3.995% · 1 in 25

Desert Eagle

Heirloom

from $5.99

3.995% · 1 in 25

Mil-Spec · 5

79.92% per opening for the tier, about 15.984% for each skin

USP-S

Stainless

from $6.12

15.984% · 1 in 6

Dual Berettas

Panther

from $3.01

15.984% · 1 in 6

Glock-18

Blue Fissure

from $2.94

15.984% · 1 in 6

CZ75-Auto

Crimson Web

from $2.93

15.984% · 1 in 6

P2000

Red FragCam

from $2.87

15.984% · 1 in 6

These skins form The Arms Deal 3 Collection.

CS:GO Weapon Case 3 knives

The case drops five knife types, each in 13 finishes, for 65 possible knives. The cheapest is a Gut Knife | Safari Mesh at $40.95, and the top listing is a M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web.

13 finishes

Bayonet

from $110.82

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

Flip Knife

from $90.86

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

Gut Knife

from $40.95

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

Karambit

from $332.00

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

M9 Bayonet

from $242.11

About 1 in 1,923 openings

CS:GO Weapon Case 3 odds

Every opening gives a Mil-Spec skin 79.92% of the time, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a knife 0.26%. So the CZ75-Auto | Victoria drops in about 1 in 156 openings and any single knife type in about 1 in 1,923.

CS:GO Weapon Case 3 odds by rarity, with per-item odds and the cheapest item in each tier
Rarity	Tier odds	Items in tier	Odds per item	1 in	Cheapest in tier
Mil-Spec	79.92%	5	15.984%	6	$2.87
Restricted	15.98%	4	3.995%	25	$5.99
Classified	3.20%	2	1.6%	63	$13.41
Covert	0.64%	1	0.64%	156	$72.98
★ Knife	0.26%	65	0.004%	25,000	$40.95

Tier odds are Valve's published rates. Odds per item assume equal weighting within a tier, which Valve hasn't confirmed. 1 in 10 drops is StatTrak™.

About the CS:GO Weapon Case 3

The CS:GO Weapon Case 3 is a weapon case released in February 2014, with 12 skins and 65 rare special knives. Opening it needs a $2.49 key from the in-game store.

Its skins form The Arms Deal 3 Collection. Trade-ups within that collection stay inside these 12 skins and, since 2025, can reach its knives.

Current CS2 drop pool ›

Released: February 2014
Skins: 12
Knives: 65
Key needed: Yes
StatTrak™: Yes
Weekly drop pool: No

CS:GO Weapon Case 3 questions

Can you still get the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 from weekly drops?

No. It is out of the weekly drop pool, so the only way to get one now is to buy it from another player or a marketplace.

What is the rarest item in the CS:GO Weapon Case 3?

Knives are the rarest drop, at 0.26% for any of the 65. Within those, rarity comes from finish and pattern: a M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web is the most valuable thing it can produce right now.

Why is the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 so expensive?

It no longer drops, so no new copies enter the market while players keep opening the ones that exist, and its rare special slot includes the Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife.

Can you trade up to a CS:GO Weapon Case 3 knife?

Yes. Covert skins from The Arms Deal 3 Collection can be traded up into one of the case's 65 knives, chosen at random.

Do CS:GO Weapon Case 3 skins come in StatTrak™?

Yes. Every skin and knife in the case can drop as StatTrak™, about 1 in 10 drops. Souvenirs are not case drops; eligible guns can also exist as Souvenir-O-Matic conversions.

Prices refresh automatically from each marketplace · Item facts from the CS2 game files

CS:GO Weapon Case 3