What's in the Shadow Case?
The Shadow Case contains 16 skins: two Covert, three Classified, four Restricted and seven Mil-Spec. It also contains 13 rare special knives: the Shadow Daggers. Every skin can also drop as StatTrak™.
Covert · 2
0.64% per opening for the tier, about 0.32% for each skin
Classified · 3
3.20% per opening for the tier, about 1.0667% for each skin
Restricted · 4
15.98% per opening for the tier, about 3.995% for each skin
Mil-Spec · 7
79.92% per opening for the tier, about 11.4171% for each skin
Glock-18
Wraiths

ST
from $0.33
11.4171% · 1 in 9
FAMAS
Survivor Z

ST
from $0.30
11.4171% · 1 in 9
MAG-7
Cobalt Core

ST
from $0.30
11.4171% · 1 in 9
Dual Berettas
Dualing Dragons

ST
from $0.27
11.4171% · 1 in 9
MAC-10
Rangeen

ST
from $0.25
11.4171% · 1 in 9
SCAR-20
Green Marine

ST
from $0.16
11.4171% · 1 in 9
XM1014
Scumbria

ST
from $0.15
11.4171% · 1 in 9
These skins form The Shadow Collection.
Shadow Case knives
The case drops one knife type, each in 13 finishes, for 13 possible knives. The cheapest is a Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh at $37.11, and the top listing is a Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web.
Shadow Case odds
Every opening gives a Mil-Spec skin 79.92% of the time, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a knife 0.26%. So the USP-S | Kill Confirmed drops in about 1 in 313 openings and any single knife type in about 1 in 385.
| Rarity | Tier odds | Items in tier | Odds per item | 1 in | Cheapest in tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.4171% | 9 | $0.15 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 4 | 3.995% | 25 | $0.90 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.0667% | 94 | $6.11 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.32% | 313 | $50.48 |
| ★ Knife | 0.26% | 13 | 0.02% | 5,000 | $37.11 |
Tier odds are Valve's published rates. Odds per item assume equal weighting within a tier, which Valve hasn't confirmed. 1 in 10 drops is StatTrak™.
About the Shadow Case
The Shadow Case is a weapon case released in September 2015, with 16 skins and 13 rare special knives. Opening it needs a $2.49 key from the in-game store.
Its skins form The Shadow Collection. Trade-ups within that collection stay inside these 16 skins and, since 2025, can reach its knives.
- Released
- September 2015
- Skins
- 16
- Knives
- 13
- Key needed
- Yes
- StatTrak™
- Yes
- Weekly drop pool
- No









