Winter Offensive Weapon Case: Price, Skins & Odds

Winter Offensive Weapon Case Standard Not painted prices by marketplace
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What's in the Winter Offensive Weapon Case?

The Winter Offensive Weapon Case contains 13 skins: two Covert, three Classified, four Restricted and four Mil-Spec. It also contains 65 rare special knives: the Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet. Every skin can also drop as StatTrak™.

Covert · 2

0.64% per opening for the tier, about 0.32% for each skin

Sawed-Off

The Kraken

from $75.14

0.32% · 1 in 313

M4A4

Asiimov

No live listing

0.32% · 1 in 313

Classified · 3

3.20% per opening for the tier, about 1.0667% for each skin

P250

Mehndi

from $13.27

1.0667% · 1 in 94

AWP

Redline

No live listing

1.0667% · 1 in 94

M4A1-S

Guardian

No live listing

1.0667% · 1 in 94

Restricted · 4

15.98% per opening for the tier, about 3.995% for each skin

FAMAS

Pulse

from $6.72

3.995% · 1 in 25

MP9

Rose Iron

from $5.48

3.995% · 1 in 25

Nova

Rising Skull

from $4.36

3.995% · 1 in 25

Dual Berettas

Marina

from $3.89

3.995% · 1 in 25

Mil-Spec · 4

79.92% per opening for the tier, about 19.98% for each skin

Five-SeveN

Kami

from $2.31

19.98% · 1 in 5

Galil AR

Sandstorm

from $1.76

19.98% · 1 in 5

M249

Magma

from $1.05

19.98% · 1 in 5

PP-Bizon

Cobalt Halftone

from $0.75

19.98% · 1 in 5

These skins form The Winter Offensive Collection.

Winter Offensive Weapon Case knives

The case drops five knife types, each in 13 finishes, for 65 possible knives. The cheapest is a Gut Knife | Safari Mesh at $40.95, and the top listing is a M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web.

13 finishes

Bayonet

from $110.82

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

Flip Knife

from $90.86

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

Gut Knife

from $40.95

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

Karambit

from $332.00

About 1 in 1,923 openings

13 finishes

M9 Bayonet

from $242.11

About 1 in 1,923 openings

Winter Offensive Weapon Case odds

Every opening gives a Mil-Spec skin 79.92% of the time, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a knife 0.26%. So the Sawed-Off | The Kraken drops in about 1 in 313 openings and any single knife type in about 1 in 1,923.

Winter Offensive Weapon Case odds by rarity, with per-item odds and the cheapest item in each tier
Rarity	Tier odds	Items in tier	Odds per item	1 in	Cheapest in tier
Mil-Spec	79.92%	4	19.98%	5	$0.75
Restricted	15.98%	4	3.995%	25	$3.89
Classified	3.20%	3	1.0667%	94	$13.27
Covert	0.64%	2	0.32%	313	$75.14
★ Knife	0.26%	65	0.004%	25,000	$40.95

Tier odds are Valve's published rates. Odds per item assume equal weighting within a tier, which Valve hasn't confirmed. 1 in 10 drops is StatTrak™.

About the Winter Offensive Weapon Case

The Winter Offensive Weapon Case is a weapon case released in December 2013, with 13 skins and 65 rare special knives. Opening it needs a $2.49 key from the in-game store.

Its skins form The Winter Offensive Collection. Trade-ups within that collection stay inside these 13 skins and, since 2025, can reach its knives.

Current CS2 drop pool ›

Released: December 2013
Skins: 13
Knives: 65
Key needed: Yes
StatTrak™: Yes
Weekly drop pool: No

Winter Offensive Weapon Case questions

Can you still get the Winter Offensive Weapon Case from weekly drops?

No. It is out of the weekly drop pool, so the only way to get one now is to buy it from another player or a marketplace.

What is the rarest item in the Winter Offensive Weapon Case?

Knives are the rarest drop, at 0.26% for any of the 65. Within those, rarity comes from finish and pattern: a M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web is the most valuable thing it can produce right now.

Why is the Winter Offensive Weapon Case so expensive?

It no longer drops, so no new copies enter the market while players keep opening the ones that exist, and its rare special slot includes the Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife.

Can you trade up to a Winter Offensive Weapon Case knife?

Yes. Covert skins from The Winter Offensive Collection can be traded up into one of the case's 65 knives, chosen at random.

Do Winter Offensive Weapon skins come in StatTrak™?

Yes. Every skin and knife in the case can drop as StatTrak™, about 1 in 10 drops. Souvenirs are not case drops; eligible guns can also exist as Souvenir-O-Matic conversions.

Prices refresh automatically from each marketplace · Item facts from the CS2 game files

Winter Offensive Weapon Case