Falchion Case: Price, Skins & Odds

Falchion Case Standard Not painted prices by marketplace
Marketplace	Listings	Lowest ask	Fee	You pay	Marketplace link
Steam MarketOfficialInstant · Steam wallet · Updated 40 min ago	14,052	—	0%	—	View

What's in the Falchion Case?

The Falchion Case contains 16 skins: two Covert, three Classified, five Restricted and six Mil-Spec. It also contains 13 rare special knives: the Falchion Knife. Every skin can also drop as StatTrak™.

Covert · 2

0.64% per opening for the tier, about 0.32% for each skin

AK-47

Aquamarine Revenge

from $141.24

0.32% · 1 in 313

AWP

Hyper Beast

from $30.87

0.32% · 1 in 313

Classified · 3

3.20% per opening for the tier, about 1.0667% for each skin

MP7

Nemesis

from $6.17

1.0667% · 1 in 94

SG 553

Cyrex

from $3.72

1.0667% · 1 in 94

CZ75-Auto

Yellow Jacket

from $3.71

1.0667% · 1 in 94

Restricted · 5

15.98% per opening for the tier, about 3.196% for each skin

M4A4

Evil Daimyo

from $2.60

3.196% · 1 in 31

MP9

Ruby Poison Dart

from $0.98

3.196% · 1 in 31

Negev

Loudmouth

from $0.74

3.196% · 1 in 31

FAMAS

Neural Net

from $0.69

3.196% · 1 in 31

P2000

Handgun

from $0.55

3.196% · 1 in 31

Mil-Spec · 6

79.92% per opening for the tier, about 13.32% for each skin

Glock-18

Bunsen Burner

from $0.66

13.32% · 1 in 8

Galil AR

Rocket Pop

from $0.65

13.32% · 1 in 8

USP-S

Torque

from $0.60

13.32% · 1 in 8

UMP-45

Riot

from $0.41

13.32% · 1 in 8

Nova

Ranger

from $0.38

13.32% · 1 in 8

P90

Elite Build

from $0.31

13.32% · 1 in 8

These skins form The Falchion Collection.

Falchion Case knives

The case drops one knife type, each in 13 finishes, for 13 possible knives. The cheapest is a Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh at $51.02, and the top listing is a Falchion Knife | Crimson Web.

13 finishes

Falchion Knife

from $51.02

About 1 in 385 openings

Falchion Case odds

Every opening gives a Mil-Spec skin 79.92% of the time, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a knife 0.26%. So the AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge drops in about 1 in 313 openings and any single knife type in about 1 in 385.

Falchion Case odds by rarity, with per-item odds and the cheapest item in each tier
Rarity	Tier odds	Items in tier	Odds per item	1 in	Cheapest in tier
Mil-Spec	79.92%	6	13.32%	8	$0.31
Restricted	15.98%	5	3.196%	31	$0.55
Classified	3.20%	3	1.0667%	94	$3.71
Covert	0.64%	2	0.32%	313	$30.87
★ Knife	0.26%	13	0.02%	5,000	$51.02

Tier odds are Valve's published rates. Odds per item assume equal weighting within a tier, which Valve hasn't confirmed. 1 in 10 drops is StatTrak™.

About the Falchion Case

The Falchion Case is a weapon case released in May 2015, with 16 skins and 13 rare special knives. Opening it needs a $2.49 key from the in-game store.

Its skins form The Falchion Collection. Trade-ups within that collection stay inside these 16 skins and, since 2025, can reach its knives.

Current CS2 drop pool ›

Released: May 2015
Skins: 16
Knives: 13
Key needed: Yes
StatTrak™: Yes
Weekly drop pool: No

Falchion Case questions

Can you still get the Falchion Case from weekly drops?

No. It is out of the weekly drop pool, so the only way to get one now is to buy it from another player or a marketplace.

What is the rarest item in the Falchion Case?

Knives are the rarest drop, at 0.26% for any of the 13. Within those, rarity comes from finish and pattern: a Falchion Knife | Crimson Web is the most valuable thing it can produce right now.

Why is the Falchion Case so expensive?

It no longer drops, so no new copies enter the market while players keep opening the ones that exist, and its rare special slot includes the Falchion Knife.

Can you trade up to a Falchion Case knife?

Yes. Covert skins from The Falchion Collection can be traded up into one of the case's 13 knives, chosen at random.

Do Falchion Case skins come in StatTrak™?

Yes. Every skin and knife in the case can drop as StatTrak™, about 1 in 10 drops. Souvenirs are not case drops; eligible guns can also exist as Souvenir-O-Matic conversions.

Prices refresh automatically from each marketplace · Item facts from the CS2 game files

Falchion Case