Counter-Strike 2
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League of Legends
Chances of getting a knife from the Fracture Case
Any knife drops in 0.26% of openings, about 1 in 385. A specific knife type, like the Nomad Knife, is about 1 in 1,538, and one exact knife and finish, like a Nomad Knife | Blue Steel, is about 1 in 20,000.
| Outcome | Per opening | About 1 in |
|---|---|---|
| Any knife | 0.26% | 385 |
| One knife type | 0.065% | 1,538 |
| One exact knife and finish | 0.005% | 20,000 |
| A StatTrak™ copy of one exact knife | 0.0005% | 200,000 |
The 0.26% is Valve's published rate. Per-type and per-knife odds assume every rare special item is equally likely, which Valve hasn't confirmed.
Most valuable Fracture Case knives
The most valuable knife in the case is a Factory New Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web, followed by a Factory New Paracord Knife | Crimson Web.
| # | Knife | Exterior | Lowest total | Listings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web | Factory New | $1,536 | 4 |
| 2 | Paracord Knife | Crimson Web | Factory New | $1,014 | 13 |
| 3 | Nomad Knife | Crimson Web | Factory New | $590.90 | 14 |
| 4 | Skeleton Knife | Fade | Minimal Wear | $550.83 | 34 |
| 5 | Survival Knife | Crimson Web | Factory New | $480.36 | 14 |
| 6 | Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened | Factory New | $451.68 | 30 |
What is a Fracture Case knife worth on average?
The average knife from this case is worth about $145.02 at today's prices. A few valuable finishes carry that average, so the median knife is worth much less, around $112.00.
Average
$145.02
Median
$112.00
Cheapest
$38.16
Most valuable
$1,536
Each knife's value weights its exteriors by float range and StatTrak™ by its 1-in-10 chance; phase finishes count at their cheapest phase. The case page puts this into the expected value of opening it.
Other cases with the same knives
The Shattered Web Case has exactly the same 52 knives. The Fever Case has the same four knife types in Chroma finishes.
| Case | Shares | Finish set |
|---|---|---|
| Shattered Web Case | The same 52 knives | Mixed |
| Fever Case | Nomad Knife, Paracord Knife, Skeleton Knife and Survival Knife | Chroma |