Counter-Strike 2
Valorant
Dota 2
League of Legends
Chances of getting a knife from the Dreams & Nightmares Case
Any knife drops in 0.26% of openings, about 1 in 385. A specific knife type, like the Bowie Knife, is about 1 in 1,923, and one exact knife and finish, like a Bowie Knife | Autotronic, is about 1 in 11,538.
| Outcome | Per opening | About 1 in |
|---|---|---|
| Any knife | 0.26% | 385 |
| One knife type | 0.052% | 1,923 |
| One exact knife and finish | 0.0087% | 11,538 |
| A StatTrak™ copy of one exact knife | 0.00087% | 115,380 |
The 0.26% is Valve's published rate. Per-type and per-knife odds assume every rare special item is equally likely, which Valve hasn't confirmed.
Most valuable Dreams & Nightmares Case knives
The most valuable knife in the case is a Factory New Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Emerald, followed by a Minimal Wear Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 2.
| # | Knife | Exterior | Lowest total | Listings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler | Factory New · Emerald | $7,014 | 33 |
| 2 | Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler | Minimal Wear · Phase 2 | $2,120 | 6 |
| 3 | Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler | Minimal Wear · Phase 1 | $1,926 | 7 |
| 4 | Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler | Minimal Wear · Phase 3 | $1,809 | 8 |
| 5 | Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler | Minimal Wear · Phase 4 | $1,725 | 13 |
| 6 | Butterfly Knife | Autotronic | Factory New | $1,233 | 73 |
What is a Dreams & Nightmares knife worth on average?
The average knife from this case is worth about $231.12 at today's prices. A few valuable finishes carry that average, so the median knife is worth much less, around $90.20.
Average
$231.12
Median
$90.20
Cheapest
$36.33
Most valuable
$7,014
Each knife's value weights its exteriors by float range and StatTrak™ by its 1-in-10 chance; phase finishes count at their cheapest phase. The case page puts this into the expected value of opening it.
Gamma Doppler phases and the Emerald
Every knife type in this case comes in Gamma Doppler, which is priced by phase and by its rare Emerald.
| Knife | Phase 1 | Phase 2 | Phase 3 | Phase 4 | Emerald |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowie Knife | $174.66 | $174.35 | $173.18 | $173.02 | $410.65 |
| Butterfly Knife | $1,580 | $1,965 | $1,614 | $1,558 | $7,014 |
| Falchion Knife | $198.47 | $208.87 | $193.13 | $199.14 | $452.30 |
| Huntsman Knife | $189.78 | $216.64 | $196.37 | $186.55 | $515.04 |
| Shadow Daggers | $121.65 | $85.89 | $86.03 | $86.02 | $222.49 |
Other cases with the same knives
The Operation Riptide Case has exactly the same 30 knives. The Spectrum Case and Spectrum 2 Case have the same five knife types in Chroma finishes.
| Case | Shares | Finish set |
|---|---|---|
| Operation Riptide Case | The same 30 knives | Gamma |
| Spectrum Case | Bowie Knife, Butterfly Knife, Falchion Knife, Huntsman Knife and Shadow Daggers | Chroma |
| Spectrum 2 Case | Bowie Knife, Butterfly Knife, Falchion Knife, Huntsman Knife and Shadow Daggers | Chroma |
| Huntsman Weapon Case | Huntsman Knife | Mixed |
| Operation Breakout Weapon Case | Butterfly Knife | Mixed |
| Falchion Case | Falchion Knife | Mixed |
| Shadow Case | Shadow Daggers | Mixed |
| Operation Wildfire Case | Bowie Knife | Mixed |